Theoretical Climate and Paleoclimate Dynamics

We address mathematical and statistical aspects of climate and palaeoclimate dynamics. We use dynamical system theory, experiments with general circulation models, methods of inference (emulation, dynamical system calibration) and time-series analysis methods to characterise the dynamics of the climate system, estimate its predictability and identify physical mechanisms of variability.

Recent articles

  • P. Ditlevsen, T. Mitsui, M. Crucifix (2019) , Crossover and peaks in the Pleistocene climate spectrum; understanding from simple ice age models, Climate Dynamics doi:10.1007/s00382-019-05087-3 weblink
  • M. Y. Verbitsky, M. Crucifix, D. M. Volobuev (2019) , ESD Ideas: Propagation of high-frequency forcing to ice age dynamics, Earth System Dynamics 10 257--260 doi:10.5194/esd-10-257-2019 weblink
  • J. Carson, M. Crucifix, S. P. Preston, R. D. Wilkinson (2019) , Quantifying age and model uncertainties in palaeoclimate data and dynamical climate models with a joint inferential analysis, Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 475 20180854 doi:10.1098/rspa.2018.0854 weblink
  • Y. Sun, Q. Yin, M. Crucifix, S. C. Clemens, P. Araya-Melo , W. Liu, X. Qiang, Q. Liu, H. Zhao, L. Liang, H. Chen, Y. Li, L. Zhang, G. Dong, M. Li, W. Zhou, A. Berger, Z. An (2019) , Diverse manifestations of the mid-Pleistocene climate transition, Nature Communications 10 doi:10.1038/s41467-018-08257-9 weblink
  • T. Mitsui, G. Lenoir, M. Crucifix (2018) , Is the glacial climate scale invariant?, Dynamics and Statistics of the Climate System 3 doi:10.1093/climsys/dzy011 weblink
  • M. Y. Verbitsky, M. Crucifix, D. M. Volobuev (2018) , A theory of Pleistocene glacial rhythmicity, Earth System Dynamics 9 1025–1043 doi:10.5194/esd-9-1025-2018 weblink
  • W. Steffen, J. Rockström, K. Richardson, T. M. Lenton, C. Folke, D. Liverman, C. P. Summerhayes, A. D. Barnosky, S. E. Cornell, M. Crucifix, J. F. Donger, I. Fetzer, S. J. Lade, M. Scheffer, R. Winkelmann, H. J. Schellnhuber (2018) , Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 201810141 doi:10.1073/pnas.1810141115 weblink
  • M. P. Erb, C. S. Jackson, A. J. Broccoli, D. W. Lea, P. J. Valdes, M. Crucifix, P. N. DiNezio (2018) , Model evidence for a seasonal bias in Antarctic ice cores, Nature Communications 9 doi:10.1038/s41467-018-03800-0 weblink